Diversify and Win — in Investing and in Kids’
Sports
By
Anthony
Isola
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When it comes to investing, you
are much better off holding a globally diversified, low-cost portfolio than you
are making concentrated bets on individual stocks or asset classes.
Unfortunately, many investors do not see the value of diversification
in their investments. And perhaps that isn’t surprising, considering the many
ways in which society encourages putting all your eggs in one basket.
Take the growing trend in youth
sports known as “early specialization.” Children as young as 7 start
training exclusively in one sport, often because their parents believe it will
help them land a college scholarship or lead to a career in professional
sports. In effect, it’s a concentrated bet on the child’s future in sports.
But specializing in one sport at
such an early age comes with great risk — just like putting all of your money
into one stock. The similarities between this dangerous youth sports trend
and the hazards of an undiversified portfolio are striking. And the data show
that in both fields, variety trumps specialization.
Here are four ways that a lack of
diversification in your finances parallels the effects of forcing your child to
specialize in one sport at an early age.
1. Worse performance
Lack of diversification usually
results in underperformance, both in the markets and on the field.
Investing:
Since 1950, a blended portfolio of U.S.
and international stocks has slightly outperformed the S&P 500, the benchmark for U.S.
stocks, according to research from Fidelity. And the globally mixed portfolio
achieved its returns with less volatility than U.S. stocks. That means if you
had invested in just the U.S. market, your portfolio wouldn’t have done as
well, and you would have suffered through greater ups and downs.
Sports:
A study of 708 players in baseball’s
minor leagues — where tomorrow’s major leaguers hone their skills — found that
only 25% of them specialized in baseball at a young age. Additionally, those who
waited until their teens to specialize were more likely to win college
scholarships.
2. Greater chances of permanent damage
The goal in both investing and
sports is to live to fight another day. Specialization reduces your probability
of survival in both fields over the long term.
Investing:
Since 1980, roughly 40% of all stocks in
the Russell 3000 have suffered “a permanent decline from their peak value,”
according to research from J.P. Morgan. (It defines a permanent decline
as a loss of at least 70% of the peak stock price, followed by a recovery
that’s minimal at best.) This means the chances of losing most of your money
would have been much greater if you were picking individual stocks. While a
globally diversified portfolio made up of low-cost
index
funds
would have had its ups and downs, the odds of permanent losses over
long stretches of time are very small.
Sports:
The possibility of permanent injury is
much greater if your young child plays one sport exclusively for eight months
or longer. Medical studies have shown this significantly increases the chances
for stress fractures and other repetitive-use injuries in young athletes.
3. Danger of following the crowd off a cliff
In both investing and youth
sports, it’s often a very bad idea to do something just because everyone else
is doing it.
Investing:
Following the crowd can lead to great
heartache. Think of the dot-com stocks of the 1990s and the overinflated real
estate values of the early part of this century. Most investors thought they
could get out before these massive bubbles burst. But in both cases, too many rushed
for the exits at once. The hopes of getting out before the crowd did were
crushed, as were the portfolios of many participants.
Sports:
Youth sports have become another way for
families to keep up with Joneses. Instead of looking at the danger of 12-month
athletic seasons on their children’s emotional and physical health, many
parents ignore the risks and push their kids to keep up with other young
athletes. Travel teams and the like have become status symbols with an allure
that can overwhelm common sense.
4. Emotional trauma
Focusing too intensely on one
thing can be damaging to the emotional welfare of everyone involved.
Investing:
When investors buy a few individual
stocks or invest in a high-flying sector, they tend to track the market’s daily
or even hourly movements. This often leads to sleepless nights, loss of
appetite and frayed relationships. Contrast this with owning a global portfolio
of low-cost index funds that you check and rebalance
once a year. This strategy provides higher returns, lower risk and greater
peace of mind. And think of all the time you save when you aren’t monitoring
the markets every day.
Sports:
Specialization in youth sports brings its
own emotional baggage. Many parents invest an enormous amount of time and money
— and they expect results. This can backfire, with their children believing
their parents’ love is contingent on their athletic performance.
Young children should have the
opportunity to try a variety of sports; this often leads to better athletic
performance, a healthier body and a less stressful environment. Similarly, your
portfolio should have a healthy mix of low-cost, global investments. You may
not capture the outsize gains that a few lucky stock pickers will, but over the
long run, you’re less likely to suffer devastating losses.
Physical or emotional harm to
your child and permanent losses in your portfolio should be avoided at all
costs. So don’t ignore the benefits of diversification for your young athlete
or your investments.
This article also appears on Nasdaq.
This article originally appeared
on NerdWallet